· Research
Investor Notes
Ideas behind the investments.
67 published articles. Original writing on businesses, markets and the thinking behind investment decisions.
Published from 27 May 2025 to 21 October 2026. Preserved as historical commentary, with original dates and source links. These are not current portfolio updates.
67 articles
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Copying can save research time; choosing the investor still takes work
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AI sell-off tests our chokepoint strategy
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The Great Liquidity Split — What Wall Street’s $43.5 Billion Quarter Reveals About 5% Money
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ASML and TSMC Smash Q3 Estimates as Silicon Monopolies Dictate 2027–2028 Supply Terms
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The Diversification Trap: Why Owning 500 Stocks Dilutes Your Wealth
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Moderna (MRNA): Programmable Biology and the mRNA Architectural Monopoly
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Cash Conversion: Why Accounting Profits Deceive Retail Investors
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Weekly Portfolio Review (October 5-11, 2026): CapEx Inelasticity vs. Macro Volatility
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The Economics of Chokepoints: Why I Only Own the Toll Booths (YTD +26.38% | Since Jan 2024 +123.50%)
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Q3 2026 Portfolio Performance & Q4 Strategic Rotation
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Capital Expenditure Inelasticity: Decoupling Returns in a 5% Yield Regime
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Portfolio Allocation Update: Exiting DDOG & SNDK, Initiating PLTR & MRNA
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The Reticle Limit: Why Advanced Packaging Governs Compute Scaling
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September 2026 Portfolio Review
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📊 Mid-August Update: The Liquidity Rebound and Capital Deployment
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📊 July 2026 Review: Liquidity Rotations and the Mathematics of Chokepoints
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📊 Alphabet ($GOOGL) Q2 '26: The CAPEX Flow Confirms our Chokepoint Thesis
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📊 Alphabet ($GOOGL) Earnings: The CAPEX Test and Foundational Infrastructure
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📊 Market Recap: Liquidity Rotations and the Fundamental Disconnect
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📊 The Economics of Chokepoints: ASML Q2 2026 Earnings & Structural Monopolies
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📊 The Memory Wall: Why AI Economics are Dictated by Bandwidth and Storage
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📊 The Great Decoupling: H1 Performance Report (+30.89%)
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📊 The Economics of Chokepoints: Updating My Investment Thesis (YTD +29.32%)
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Strategic Reallocation: Prioritizing Capital Preservation Amid Unpriced Risk
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The Specialist's Premium: Vertical Diversification Strategy. 🏗️
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Titlu: The Gauntlet: What Matters This Week. 🎯
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January Review: The Price of Outperformance. 📊
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The Week of Paradoxes: Record Earnings vs. Macro Fear. ⚖️
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The Asymmetry of Loss: Why I Hate Losing Money. 📉
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Titlu: The ASML Paradox: Record Orders, Red Candle. Why? 📉📈
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Return is Vanity. Risk-Adjusted Return is Sanity. 📊
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Owning the Toll Road. 🛣️
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The Two-Year Stack. 📈
· Investment note
The Snowball Effect. ❄️
· Investment note
Invert, Always Invert. 🧠
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The Pause Button. ⏸️
· Investment note
The Most Important Company on Earth. 🌏
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How to Survive the Noise. 🧘♂️
· Investment note
The Most Asymmetric Bet in Tech. ⚖️
· Investment note
Red Weeks Build Character. 📉
· Investment note
Not All AI Stocks Are Hype. 📉📈
· Investment note
Don't Just Buy the Chips. Buy the Blueprints. 🏗️
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📊 Weekly Update: Recovery and Structural Trends
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Weekly Summary: The Cost of Conviction
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Why I Sold Snowflake: When the Thesis Changes, the Capital Moves
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A Tale of Two Architects: Why Today Matters
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Weekly Summary: A Week of Macro Noise vs. Long-Term Signal
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Weekly Summary: Conviction, Context, and Community Growth
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Introducing My Investment Thesis: The Architects of the Digital Future
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Tech's Super-Wednesday: From AI Euphoria to the Cost of Reality
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Weekly Summary: Navigating Volatility
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Weekly Update: Navigating a Rollercoaster Week
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Market Update: A Calm Look at Friday's Tariff News
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What I’m Watching This Week
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October Update: A Story of Discipline and Opportunity
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A Q3 Review: How We're Navigating the Market
· Trade rationale
Portfolio Update: Why I Sold Marvell ($MRVL)
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September Review: A Strong Month & a Focus on the Long Term
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Weekly Review: Analyzing Volatility in Our Core Holdings
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Deep Dive: Why Datadog's ($DDOG) S&P 500 Inclusion Validates Our Strategy
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H1 2025 Review: Strong Outperformance & Strategic Shifts
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Weekly Update: A Test of Strategy—How We Outperformed in a Volatile Market
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Portfolio Action: A Strategic Reallocation into AI Infrastructure & Cloud
· Trade rationale
Portfolio Update: Why I Sold Apple ($AAPL) to Buy Marvell ($MRVL)
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Not All Tech is Equal: Why I'm Avoiding EVs and Focusing on a Different Kind of Growth
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NVIDIA ($NVDA) in 2025: AI Momentum Continues to Drive Performance
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