Original published illustration: ๐Ÿ“Š July 2026 Review: Liquidity Rotations and the Mathematics of Chokepoints
Original publication image ยท eToro
๐Ÿ“Š ๐—๐˜‚๐—น๐˜† ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„: ๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ฅ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—–๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ The July performance report is delayed as I recently returned from a family vacation in Spain. Evaluating the mechanics of the roller coasters at PortAventura provided a fitting parallel to the structural turbulence we witnessed in the markets over the past month. July functioned as a definitive liquidity event, providing a necessary stress test for our structural monopoly thesis. Despite the short-term negative print, the underlying math dictates optimism. ๐Ÿญ. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—๐˜‚๐—น๐˜† ๐——๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜„๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป: ๐—” ๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—˜๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ Beneath the surface-level stability of the $SPX500, the market executed a violent internal rotation. Institutional capital systematically de-risked from high-beta tech assets to reallocate into historically underperforming sectors. โ€ข $SPX500 July: +๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ% โ€ข $NSDQ100 July: -๐Ÿฑ.๐Ÿญ๐Ÿต% โ€ข ๐—ข๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—๐˜‚๐—น๐˜†: -๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ.๐Ÿต๐Ÿฑ% Our portfolio absorbed a concentrated drawdown precisely due to our deliberate exposure to the semiconductor supply chain. During liquidity shocks, trading algorithms do not differentiate between speculative software platforms and the physical monopolies dictating global compute infrastructure. Everything is sold proportionally to raise cash. ๐Ÿฎ. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—™๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐——๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜ We evaluate our positions against the structural demand for hardware, not short-term capital flows. The recent earnings data from major hyperscalers confirmed a continuation of the multi-trillion-dollar CAPEX arms race. They are mathematically forced to continue paying the "Silicon Toll." The physical bottlenecks we holdโ€”such as $ASML (ASML Holding NV) for advanced lithography, $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) for compute architecture, and $MU (Micron Technology, Inc.) for high-bandwidth memoryโ€”retain absolute pricing power. You cannot manufacture a logic or memory chip without this specific supply chain. A temporary reallocation of market capital does not alter the physical constraints of the digital economy. ๐Ÿฏ. ๐—ฌ๐—ง๐—— ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ & ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—”๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ We accept short-term volatility as the explicit price for long-term alpha. Despite the July compression, our underlying thesis remains completely intact. The 1-year rolling performance (+20.16%) and Year-to-Date (YTD) data confirm the resilience of our positioning: โ€ข $SPX500 YTD: +๐Ÿต.๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿต% โ€ข $NSDQ100 YTD: +๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ% โ€ข ๐—ข๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—ฌ๐—ง๐——: +๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ.๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿด% We do not over-diversify to hide from volatility, nor do we chase broad market beta. We hold the line because the fundamental demand for compute power remains absolute. Review my complete holdings and historical performance directly on the profile.